tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.comments2023-09-08T03:55:55.357-04:00Analyze Capital LLCAnalyze Capital LLChttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13893472370721559294noreply@blogger.comBlogger240125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-68347037452862771572013-08-23T12:31:55.218-04:002013-08-23T12:31:55.218-04:00Follow, this is EASIER said than done since I have...Follow, this is EASIER said than done since I haven't been glued to the screen. Most of my best trades where placed on conviction and not obsessively monitoring the screen. Low frequency, conviction plays seem to work in my favor.thaiminhlehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17339723939740500782noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-89457961160024420172011-04-01T11:54:13.634-04:002011-04-01T11:54:13.634-04:00Looks like time frame expectation was way off for ...Looks like time frame expectation was way off for the USD. I expected dollar strength to carry through then reverse back to dollar weakness like I said in the London Hour Update. It looks like markets shrugged the NFP news off. Looks like I was wrong to expect the SPX to continue its sell off. It seems that trend extensions on light volume are quite the norm these days...Analyze Capital LLChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13893472370721559294noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-24482452528028403052011-03-31T16:40:21.609-04:002011-03-31T16:40:21.609-04:00Forgot to Mention CAD GDP ... good stuff it also b...Forgot to Mention CAD GDP ... good stuff it also broke below short term supportAnalyze Capital LLChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13893472370721559294noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-8329394156136480282011-03-24T16:03:29.541-04:002011-03-24T16:03:29.541-04:00V. nice post sir.
You said it eloquently here: ...V. nice post sir. <br /><br />You said it eloquently here: '(IF)/Once this period of volatility can normalize these fundamentals should pull through.'Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-85623249458362272552011-03-16T19:50:57.816-04:002011-03-16T19:50:57.816-04:00I interpreted in a flight to quality sense, risk a...I interpreted in a flight to quality sense, risk appetites decreasing vs increasing. Seems I was mis-using the term. <br /><br />Thx for the clarificationAnalyze Capital LLChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13893472370721559294noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-24504699643379065842011-03-16T12:32:05.136-04:002011-03-16T12:32:05.136-04:00"risk on" describes those days when the ..."risk on" describes those days when the glass seems half full and investors are looking on the bright side, while "risk off" is used on glass-half-empty days when the outlook seems gloomiest.<br /><br />As in a trader puts risk on the table v. a trader takes risk off the table...Typically flows into USDs is viewed as a risk off trade whereas flows out of DOllars into riskier assets is viewed as risk-on<br /><br />For Instance:<br />http://www.fx360.com/commentary/boris/4693/year-kicks-off-with-risk-on-in-fx.aspx<br /><br />http://www.forexlive.com/173608/all/risk-off-all-over-againAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-39128318349344151862011-03-15T21:56:00.613-04:002011-03-15T21:56:00.613-04:00continue to be shortcontinue to be shortthaiminhlehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17339723939740500782noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-57255761099872201772011-03-15T20:27:00.209-04:002011-03-15T20:27:00.209-04:00Earnings!? come earnings we probably will see the ...Earnings!? come earnings we probably will see the snapback with "supposed" strong margins... Keep raising the bar guys keep raising it...Analyze Capital LLChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13893472370721559294noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-8127930763827994122011-03-04T20:17:27.911-05:002011-03-04T20:17:27.911-05:00900 cents or $9.00 gain in oil would imply $6250/c...900 cents or $9.00 gain in oil would imply $6250/contract + 2750/contract oil gain + an additional gain of $270 per DX contract = $9,070 minimum gain this week. Even if one managed 100k, that imply an 9.07% ROC in one week. That is more than decent.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-50320880062617128702011-03-04T19:47:02.730-05:002011-03-04T19:47:02.730-05:00So I expect to see you in a ferrari soon!So I expect to see you in a ferrari soon!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-32961365109354306302011-03-04T19:45:53.744-05:002011-03-04T19:45:53.744-05:00This comment has been removed by the author.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-25055220245104066842011-02-26T23:52:56.431-05:002011-02-26T23:52:56.431-05:00Investors see a 100 percent chance RBNZ Governor A...Investors see a 100 percent chance RBNZ Governor Alan Bollard will lower the official cash rate by 25 basis points at the March 10 policy meeting, according to a Credit Suisse AG index based on swaps trading. Four of eight economists surveyed by Bloomberg News predict a cut of at least 25 pointsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-55836006782084588312011-02-26T23:50:00.534-05:002011-02-26T23:50:00.534-05:00This comment has been removed by the author.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-82516108097880601122010-11-18T01:02:26.883-05:002010-11-18T01:02:26.883-05:00Hi there Pat and Alex,
I hope that you're doi...Hi there Pat and Alex,<br /><br />I hope that you're doing well. If I may express a very quick opinion, the general consensus around funds that we've held in high esteem over the years is that looking at 13Fs is almost useless in terms of incorporating into any strategy or mindset. Sadly, we share the opinion.<br /><br />I'm certain that you two, given how smart you are, would know some reasons why. First off is of course that they only report holdings as of the end of the quarter. And within days, such as the case this quarter, they could completely alter their entire strategy/portfolio/mindset in an instant. The first week of October in this year was seen by many in the industry as being a gamechanger.<br /><br />Secondly the 13Fs don't report everything. While it is true hardly any HFs truly "hedge," the 13Fs will never include any Fut/FutOpt/Currencies which many prominent HFs use as daily trading vehicles to hedge (even Buffett was rumored to use these before 2008 which could have cost him in the crash).<br /><br />Thirdly, and this one is definitely more subjective than anything, many of the people who use 13Fs as an important part of their strategy are often among the "morons" of the industry. I mean the James Altuchers of the world aren't exactly among the upper tier, and I believe I'm being very kind.<br /><br />I know that you two don't incorporate the 13Fs as a big part of what you do, but just thought I'd give a refresher about their shortcomings anyway. There's no harm in looking at them, but be wary drawing conclusions or inferring anything significant out of them IMO.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-54515743379992840612010-11-10T04:27:23.931-05:002010-11-10T04:27:23.931-05:00"golden thinking" lol i like this articl..."golden thinking" lol i like this article a lot… i guess that only means one thing… BUY GOLD …. -_-thaiminhlehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17339723939740500782noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-25924031897461205862010-11-04T12:25:50.721-04:002010-11-04T12:25:50.721-04:00Great clever analogy! Indeed we are seeing some cr...Great clever analogy! Indeed we are seeing some crazy new things these days. Heres to more QE2 parties!Analyze Capital LLChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13893472370721559294noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-40502493693569383362010-11-04T07:28:40.331-04:002010-11-04T07:28:40.331-04:00Fantastic Post sir. The downfall of maintaing a tw...Fantastic Post sir. The downfall of maintaing a two-man research department allows us to overlook opportunities at times. Regardless, the call and time was correct. That must count for something. <br /><br />I am curious to see if the 'buy the rumor sell the news' trade is in play with dollar strength seen after BOE and ECB announcements. Either way trend is up.Analyze Capital LLChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13893472370721559294noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-18766973184866297112010-11-04T07:27:50.170-04:002010-11-04T07:27:50.170-04:00This comment has been removed by the author.Analyze Capital LLChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13893472370721559294noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-83410996221442262002010-10-25T20:07:28.224-04:002010-10-25T20:07:28.224-04:00I could not agree more with your Crude range. $4 ...I could not agree more with your Crude range. $4 up then $4 down. Maybe we will get an oil spill (I am-eco friendly) or something that derails crude traders from the $ trade. Also, I'm with you on the SPX. In light of Today's weak close, I expect some selling pressure tomorrow. The EUR/USD is like a pretty girl who draws you in for a kiss and then pushes you away. However, she manages to keep you chasing her....Analyze Capital LLChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13893472370721559294noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-54775973617334590692010-10-25T03:01:57.950-04:002010-10-25T03:01:57.950-04:00Great Post for the coming week
"Now we are f...Great Post for the coming week<br /><br />"Now we are free to continue speculation on impending Quantitative Easing from the FED without any worries of a 'currency war.' "<br /><br />Thats exactly what we are seeing into mondays trading!!! ALL NOISE though… I'ma bit the bullet and just watch this mostly for today see what the feel is into tuesday.thaiminhlehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17339723939740500782noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-47613745883038423802010-10-20T04:39:21.501-04:002010-10-20T04:39:21.501-04:00Around 2AM COIL was one of the bigger loosers goin...Around 2AM COIL was one of the bigger loosers going into London Trading.Analyze Capital LLChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13893472370721559294noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-21377515417633832782010-10-20T01:06:56.370-04:002010-10-20T01:06:56.370-04:00This race reminds me of the 2004 race in Californi...This race reminds me of the 2004 race in California where there monicker "anything goes' actually went.Analyze Capital LLChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13893472370721559294noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-86457346521072909582010-10-19T10:48:14.954-04:002010-10-19T10:48:14.954-04:00Excellent Post Alex....Excellent Post Alex....Analyze Capital LLChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13893472370721559294noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-8014553791521424332010-10-08T20:18:14.822-04:002010-10-08T20:18:14.822-04:00Big sigh of reliefBig sigh of reliefAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6515072458415501165.post-48418846625012742372010-09-28T07:15:15.833-04:002010-09-28T07:15:15.833-04:00Really enjoyed the trend analysis, great work here...Really enjoyed the trend analysis, great work here lots of insides on all sides.Analyze Capital LLChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13893472370721559294noreply@blogger.com